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Truth Consequences, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Elephant Butte NM
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Elephant Butte NM
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX |
| Updated: 11:14 pm MDT Mar 30, 2025 |
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Tonight
Mostly Clear
|
Monday
Sunny
|
Monday
Night
Partly Cloudy
|
Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
then Patchy
Blowing Dust
and Windy
|
Tuesday
Night
Patchy
Blowing Dust
and Windy
then Partly
Cloudy
|
Wednesday
Partly Sunny
then Mostly
Sunny and
Windy
|
Wednesday
Night
Mostly Clear
and Windy
then Mostly
Clear
|
Thursday
Mostly Sunny
|
Thursday
Night
Partly Cloudy
then Slight
Chance
Showers
|
| Lo 42 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 48 °F |
Hi 74 °F |
Lo 41 °F |
Hi 63 °F |
Lo 34 °F |
Hi 65 °F |
Lo 38 °F |
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Fire Weather Watch
Tonight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 42. West wind 5 to 8 mph. |
Monday
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Sunny, with a high near 81. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph. |
Monday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southwest wind 17 to 22 mph decreasing to 8 to 13 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph. |
Tuesday
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Patchy blowing dust after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Windy, with a west southwest wind 8 to 18 mph increasing to 26 to 36 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. |
Tuesday Night
|
Patchy blowing dust before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Windy, with a west wind 24 to 34 mph decreasing to 5 to 15 mph. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Windy, with a west southwest wind 5 to 15 mph increasing to 19 to 29 mph. Winds could gust as high as 43 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Windy, with a west southwest wind 21 to 26 mph becoming light west northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 39 mph. |
Thursday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 12 to 17 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. |
Thursday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. South wind 12 to 17 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. |
Friday
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A 50 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. |
Friday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. |
Saturday
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A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. |
Saturday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. |
Sunday
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A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Elephant Butte NM.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
568
FXUS64 KEPZ 310529 AAB
AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1129 PM MDT Sun Mar 30 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1108 PM MDT Sun Mar 30 2025
- Lighter winds but continued warm temperatures Monday.
- Strong winds and widespread dusty conditions are expected on
Tuesday, with breezy to windy conditions lingering into
Wednesday.
- Precipitation chances begin to increase late in the week as an
upper low interacts with a back door cold front.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 320 PM MDT Sun Mar 30 2025
Winds are slowly increasing across the area, with gusts over 30
mph becoming common. Still expect peak winds will end up a little
lower than yesterday afternoon, with less dust as well. So far,
satellite imagery shows just the slightest hints of plumes trying
to develop in northern Chihuahua. Meanwhile, RH values have
tumbled into the single digits, as expected.
Zonal flow sets up tomorrow, giving us a one day break from the
windy conditions. But a broad trough carving out across the Great
Basin on Tuesday will bring us very windy and dusty conditions to
start April, with winds not falling far we saw from some of our
bigger events in March. Models indicate 700 mb wind max of 55 to
60 knots will settle across the area right around midday Tuesday,
perhaps a hair early for peak mixing, but BUFKIT profiles suggest
mixing up to around 600 mb will still tap into 50 knots for
momentum transfer. All things considered, we will likely need
widespread Wind Advisories for Tuesday, with warning criteria
gusts in the higher terrain and east slope locations. Can`t rule
out a few lowland zones being added to the warning criteria mix as
well. For now, continued with the High Wind Watch as issued on the
overnight shift.
Breezy to windy conditions, possibly advisory criteria again, will
linger into Wednesday, with additional blowing dust possible given
a continued WSW wind direction.
Then things turn interesting. A strong shortwave trough diving
down the west coast will further deepen the Great Basin trough,
deep enough to allow it to tap into some limited moisture while a
weak backdoor cold front slides in from the northeast. Ensembles
are all trending towards increasing chances for precip Friday and
Saturday, with some higher elevation accumulating snow possible as
well.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1108 PM MDT Sun Mar 30 2025
VFR conditions to prevail throughout the TAF period. Winds will
remain somewhat elevated overnight, diminishing btwn 31/06Z and
31/12Z. Gusty winds of a sly to wly persuasion will return in the
aftn, with gusts around 20 kts most common.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 320 PM MDT Sun Mar 30 2025
Winds are continuing to increase this afternoon as RH values
continue to crater into the single digits across the lowlands.
Lighter winds are expected for Monday, but vent rates will
remain favorable. Much stronger winds are expected on Tuesday,
when critical fire weather conditions will develop again, despite
modest improvements in RH values. Continued breezy to windy
conditions are likely on Wednesday with another critical fire
weather day possible in the lowlands.
The good news...precip chances look to work back into the
forecast late in the week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 51 80 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
Sierra Blanca 45 76 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
Las Cruces 42 77 45 75 / 0 0 0 0
Alamogordo 42 77 49 76 / 0 0 0 0
Cloudcroft 30 55 39 53 / 0 0 0 0
Truth or Consequences 43 79 49 72 / 0 0 0 0
Silver City 38 69 42 64 / 0 0 0 0
Deming 40 79 45 76 / 0 0 0 0
Lordsburg 38 76 42 72 / 0 0 0 0
West El Paso Metro 51 79 54 80 / 0 0 0 0
Dell City 43 80 47 81 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Hancock 46 83 48 86 / 0 0 0 0
Loma Linda 45 72 48 74 / 0 0 0 0
Fabens 47 80 50 83 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Teresa 45 78 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
White Sands HQ 50 79 55 77 / 0 0 0 0
Jornada Range 39 78 47 75 / 0 0 0 0
Hatch 39 81 50 77 / 0 0 0 0
Columbus 46 81 50 80 / 0 0 0 0
Orogrande 43 76 48 77 / 0 0 0 0
Mayhill 35 70 46 66 / 0 0 0 0
Mescalero 33 65 42 64 / 0 0 0 0
Timberon 32 65 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
Winston 29 72 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
Hillsboro 38 78 46 71 / 0 0 0 0
Spaceport 36 78 44 74 / 0 0 0 0
Lake Roberts 26 70 32 63 / 0 0 0 10
Hurley 35 72 40 67 / 0 0 0 0
Cliff 33 76 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
Mule Creek 25 71 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
Faywood 39 73 44 68 / 0 0 0 0
Animas 39 80 43 76 / 0 0 0 0
Hachita 38 78 43 76 / 0 0 0 0
Antelope Wells 40 80 46 77 / 0 0 0 0
Cloverdale 43 73 45 70 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening
for Eastern/Central El Paso County.
Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
evening for Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County.
NM...High Wind Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening
for East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range-West
Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands.
Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
evening for Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande
Valley/BLM/GLZ- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces
BLM/GLZ.
&&
$$
FORECASTER...99
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